Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004227 0.004447 0.004673 0.004922 0.005190 0.005469 0.005782
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003807 0.004131 0.004478 0.004877 0.005327 0.005819 0.006400
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003523 0.003902 0.004318 0.004812 0.005387 0.006037 0.006836
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003387 0.003815 0.004297 0.004883 0.005584 0.006402 0.007440
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003239 0.003699 0.004227 0.004884 0.005687 0.006649 0.007904
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003095 0.003576 0.004138 0.004849 0.005737 0.006825 0.008281
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002944 0.003435 0.004017 0.004765 0.005716 0.006904 0.008530
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002817 0.003318 0.003917 0.004700 0.005710 0.006995 0.008795
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002736 0.003251 0.003876 0.004703 0.005788 0.007196 0.009210
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002587 0.003094 0.003714 0.004544 0.005646 0.007094 0.009201
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002526 0.003043 0.003685 0.004553 0.005724 0.007290 0.009614
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002510 0.003051 0.003729 0.004659 0.005935 0.007673 0.010316
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002427 0.002969 0.003655 0.004606 0.005927 0.007754 0.010583
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002354 0.002898 0.003592 0.004565 0.005934 0.007855 0.010885
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002278 0.002820 0.003518 0.004506 0.005911 0.007910 0.011118
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002255 0.002811 0.003534 0.004570 0.006066 0.008231 0.011783
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002209 0.002770 0.003506 0.004571 0.006127 0.008414 0.012236
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.002716 0.003457 0.004539 0.006139 0.008521 0.012571
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002087 0.002641 0.003378 0.004463 0.006079 0.008513 0.012713
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002028 0.002578 0.003313 0.004402 0.006041 0.008538 0.012908
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001993 0.002546 0.003291 0.004405 0.006099 0.008714 0.013373
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001911 0.002447 0.003171 0.004259 0.005923 0.008508 0.013156
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001882 0.002422 0.003156 0.004268 0.005986 0.008691 0.013640